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Prediction markets
106 active markets
· category “AI”
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How to trade
Next Claude Opus released by...?
July 31
99%
August 31
99%
4 more
$1.34M
Vol.
Dec 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
52 trading now
Claude 4.8 released by...?
May 31
99%
June 15
99%
2 more
$680K
Vol.
Jul 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
59 trading now
GPT-5.6 released by...?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$4.26M
Vol.
Jul 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
61 trading now
Next Claude Opus released on...?
No release by July 31
1%
July 30
1%
4 more
$531K
Vol.
Jul 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
56 trading now
Next GPT Model: Text Arena Debut?
1450+
99%
1520+
1%
5 more
$508K
Vol.
Dec 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
57 trading now
Next Claude Opus: Text Arena Debut?
1500+
99%
1470+
99%
4 more
$184K
Vol.
Dec 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
53 trading now
GPT-5.6 released on...?
July 9
99%
July 14
50%
37 more
$1.01M
Vol.
Jul 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
55 trading now
Which company has best AI model end of August?
Anthropic
91%
Company A
50%
30 more
$411K
Vol.
Aug 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$28
57 trading now
Best AI model on August 1?
Other
96%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
1%
2 more
$102K
Vol.
Aug 1
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
45 trading now
Best AI model on August 10?
Other
93%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
4%
2 more
$51K
Vol.
Aug 10
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$27
46 trading now
Claude Mythos: Text Arena Debut?
1490+
99%
1480+
99%
2 more
$37K
Vol.
Dec 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
47 trading now
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?
Moonshot
69%
Company I
50%
28 more
$27K
Vol.
Aug 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$36
46 trading now
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