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Prediction markets
10 active markets
· category “Fed”
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How to trade
Fed rate hike by...?
October Meeting
66%
September Meeting
61%
3 more
$1.65M
Vol.
Oct 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$38
64 trading now
Fed Decision in October?
No change
61%
25 bps increase
24%
3 more
$353K
Vol.
Oct 28
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$41
48 trading now
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Other
60%
Pause–Pause–Pause
40%
7 more
$590K
Vol.
Sep 16
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$42
63 trading now
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)
Pause–Pause–Pause
74%
Other
26%
7 more
$904K
Vol.
Jul 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$34
52 trading now
What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?
Central Bank
85%
Balance Sheet
85%
32 more
$78K
Vol.
Jul 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$29
48 trading now
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
Other
65%
Pause–Pause–Pause
32%
7 more
$548K
Vol.
Oct 28
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$39
47 trading now
How many dissent at the July Fed meeting?
0
26%
Yes
No
1
25%
Yes
No
$51K
Vol.
Jul 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$76
53 trading now
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
2 (50 bps)
32%
1 (25 bps)
31%
4 more
$60K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$78
42 trading now
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$318K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
55 trading now
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?
9%
chance
Yes
No
$5.1K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$294
43 trading now
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