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Prediction markets
13 active markets
· category “Oil”
How it works
How to trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?
12%
chance
Yes
No
$3.25M
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$217
66 trading now
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
40+
99%
30+
8%
5 more
$1.52M
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
56 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
27%
chance
Yes
No
$730K
Vol.
Sep 30
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$94
49 trading now
Crude Oil all time high by...?
13%
chance
Yes
No
$2.12M
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$200
61 trading now
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?
0-20
94%
20-40
2%
3 more
$252K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
53 trading now
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
45%
chance
Yes
No
$86K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$56
51 trading now
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 27?
25-49
39%
50-74
37%
3 more
$4.1K
Vol.
Aug 2
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$65
37 trading now
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?
300M
99%
285M
82%
4 more
$23K
Vol.
Sep 9
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
53 trading now
Houthis successfully target shipping on...?
August 9
40%
August 26
33%
34 more
$51K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$63
51 trading now
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
46%
December
13%
5 more
$141K
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$55
45 trading now
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
July 31
99%
August 31
99%
1 more
$64K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
51 trading now
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of July?
<25
33%
28-30
19%
5 more
$12K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$77
43 trading now
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