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Prediction markets
16 active markets
· category “Science”
How it works
How to trade
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Hong Wang
99%
Yu Deng
99%
9 more
$879K
Vol.
Jul 30
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
64 trading now
Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?
600mm+
99%
<400mm
1%
8 more
$46K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
38 trading now
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
1st hottest
88%
3rd hottest
7%
2 more
$118K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$28
42 trading now
Precipitation in London in July?
<30mm
98%
40-50mm
1%
5 more
$12K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
44 trading now
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.20–1.24ºC
89%
1.15–1.19ºC
6%
4 more
$49K
Vol.
Aug 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$28
47 trading now
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 27 - August 2?
50%
chance
Yes
No
$7.6K
Vol.
Aug 2
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$50
33 trading now
Precipitation in NYC in July?
5-6"
45%
4-5"
38%
4 more
$34K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$56
48 trading now
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
December 31
47%
August 30
46%
2 more
$1.4K
Vol.
Jan 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$53
37 trading now
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 27 - August 2?
0
46%
Yes
No
1
32%
Yes
No
$1.8K
Vol.
Aug 3
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$55
39 trading now
Precipitation in Seattle in July?
<0.5"
90%
0.5-1"
6%
5 more
$4.6K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$28
42 trading now
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31?
2500+
99%
3000+
99%
5 more
$35K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
37 trading now
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
4%
chance
Yes
No
$122K
Vol.
Mar 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
46 trading now
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